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Serie A

Referee: Fabio Maresca

Sampdoria

T T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 1

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 5. · Fiorentina 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Spal	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+0	9
4	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+7	6
6	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Udinese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Torino	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Cagliari	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Inter	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Milan	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Empoli	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Chievo	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Spal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Cagliari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+4	3
3	Inter	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Napoli	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Torino	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.