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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Torino
S T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Napoli
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 10. · Napoli 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 6 6 0 0 +11 18
2 Atalanta 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Juventus 6 5 1 0 +6 16
4 Napoli 6 4 0 2 +5 12
5 Roma 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Lazio 7 3 2 2 +7 11
7 Cagliari 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Fiorentina 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Verona 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Torino 6 3 0 3 +0 9
11 Bologna 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Parma 7 3 0 4 -2 9
13 Milan 7 3 0 4 -3 9
14 Udinese 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 Sassuolo 6 2 0 4 -1 6
16 Brescia 6 2 0 4 -2 6
17 Spal 7 2 0 5 -7 6
18 Lecce 7 2 0 5 -8 6
19 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -7 5
20 Sampdoria 7 1 0 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Napoli
34′
🔁 Faouzi Ghoulam
↦ Elseid Hysaj
Saša Lukić 🟨
35′
37′
🟨 Hirving Lozano
45′
🟨 Sebastiano Luperto
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 José Callejón
↦ Hirving Lozano
67′
🔁 Fernando Llorente
↦ Lorenzo Insigne
Soualiho Meïté 🔁
↦ Daniele Baselli
71′
Ola Aina 🔁
↦ Saša Lukić
83′
Iago Falque 🔁
↦ Simone Verdi
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Torino

4-2-3-1
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
4 Lyanco D
93 Diego Laxalt D
88 Tomás Rincón M
8 Daniele Baselli M
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
7 Saša Lukić M
24 Simone Verdi M
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (9)
25 Antonio Rosati
18 Samir Ujkani
34 Ola Aina
30 Koffi Djidji
14 Kevin Bonifazi
23 Soualiho Meïté
21 Alex Berenguer
22 Vincenzo Millico
10 Iago Falque

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Napoli

4-3-3
1 Alex Meret G
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D
44 Konstantinos Manolas D
13 Sebastiano Luperto D
23 Elseid Hysaj D
8 Fabián Ruiz M
5 Allan M
20 Piotr Zieliński M
11 Hirving Lozano F
14 Dries Mertens F
24 Lorenzo Insigne F
Bench (11)
27 Orestis Karnezis
25 David Ospina
2 Kévin Malcuit
62 Lorenzo Tonelli
31 Faouzi Ghoulam
12 Eljif Elmas
70 Gianluca Gaetano
7 José Callejón
9 Fernando Llorente
34 Amin Younes
99 Arkadiusz Milik

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,06
U ✓
3,80
B
1,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.