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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Napoli

T S U S U

2–2

Full-time

Atalanta

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

4,8

Scored

1,5

3,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,2

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 62%

56%

67%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

44%

89%

Both score Ø 73%

56%

89%

Average goals

3,2

4,7

Scored

2,0

3,1

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 12

11 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 4. · Atalanta 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	1	1	+12	25
2	Juventus	9	7	2	0	+8	23
3	Atalanta	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Napoli	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Roma	9	4	4	1	+3	16
6	Lazio	9	4	3	2	+8	15
7	Cagliari	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Parma	10	4	1	5	+1	13
9	Fiorentina	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Bologna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Verona	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Torino	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Milan	9	3	1	5	-4	10
14	Udinese	9	3	1	5	-8	10
15	Sassuolo	8	3	0	5	-1	9
16	Lecce	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Genoa	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Brescia	9	2	1	6	-5	7
19	Spal	9	2	1	6	-9	7
20	Sampdoria	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Inter	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Parma	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Udinese	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Roma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Torino	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	+7	7
10	Cagliari	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Genoa	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Bologna	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Spal	5	2	1	2	-1	7
15	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Verona	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Milan	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-4	4
19	Brescia	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Lecce	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Napoli	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Cagliari	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Roma	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Lazio	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Verona	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Lecce	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Milan	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Brescia	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Fiorentina	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Torino	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Udinese	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-10	1
19	Spal	4	0	0	4	-8	0
20	Sampdoria	5	0	0	5	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.