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Serie A

Referee: M Piccinini

Juventus

S S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Spal

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,6

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

17 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

13 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 2. · Spal 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+4	13
3	Atalanta	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Cagliari	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Torino	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Roma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Bologna	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Lazio	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	0	3	+2	6
11	Brescia	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Parma	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Milan	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
15	Fiorentina	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Verona	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Genoa	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Spal	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Sampdoria	5	1	0	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Torino	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Roma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Fiorentina	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Genoa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Spal	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Parma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Inter	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Lecce	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Bologna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Lazio	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Milan	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Sassuolo	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Spal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.