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La Liga
Referee: José González
Ath Madrid
S S T U S
0–0
Full-time
Real Madrid
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Real Madrid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 7 4 2 1 +7 14
2 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +6 14
3 Barcelona 7 4 1 2 +6 13
4 Sociedad 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +3 13
6 Ath Bilbao 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Villarreal 7 3 2 2 +7 11
8 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Valencia 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Betis 7 2 2 3 -5 8
11 Getafe 7 1 4 2 -1 7
12 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Osasuna 6 1 4 1 -1 7
14 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Celta 6 1 3 2 -3 6
16 Eibar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Alaves 6 1 2 3 -5 5
18 Espanol 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
20 Leganes 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U ✓
3,33
B
3,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José González · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.