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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

Salzburg

S S S S U

4–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

6,2

3,5

Scored

5,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+3,8

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

88%

25%

Points per game

2,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 82%

88%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

5,5

3,5

Scored

4,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%

27 Shots 3

10 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Austria Vienna 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	7	1	0	+28	22
2	Wolfsberger AC	8	6	0	2	+13	18
3	LASK	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	SK Rapid	8	5	1	2	+8	16
5	Sturm Graz	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Hartberg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Austria Vienna	8	2	2	4	-4	8
8	Tirol	8	2	2	4	-5	8
9	Altach	8	2	1	5	-2	7
10	Mattersburg	8	2	1	5	-12	7
11	St. Polten	8	1	3	4	-16	6
12	Admira	8	0	2	6	-19	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+16	12
2	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+10	9
3	Altach	4	2	1	1	+6	7
4	Hartberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Sturm Graz	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	LASK	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	Mattersburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Admira	4	0	1	3	-6	1
12	St. Polten	3	0	1	2	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	St. Polten	5	1	2	2	-8	5
7	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	Admira	4	0	1	3	-13	1
12	Altach	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.