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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
ST Johnstone
U U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Motherwell 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +17 19
2 Rangers 6 5 0 1 +11 15
3 Aberdeen 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Ross County 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Livingston 6 2 2 2 +0 8
7 Kilmarnock 6 2 1 3 -2 7
8 Hearts 6 1 2 3 -3 5
9 Hamilton 6 1 2 3 -4 5
10 Hibernian 7 1 2 4 -10 5
11 St Mirren 6 1 1 4 -3 4
12 ST Johnstone 6 0 3 3 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
U
3,40
B ✓
2,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.