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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Bordeaux
S U S U S
0–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
71%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
71%
14%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
4 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 5. · Paris SG 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nantes 8 5 1 2 +3 16
2 Paris SG 7 5 0 2 +8 15
3 Angers 7 5 0 2 +5 15
4 Lille 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Bordeaux 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 Nice 7 4 0 3 +0 12
8 Reims 7 3 2 2 +4 11
9 Rennes 7 3 2 2 +2 11
10 Montpellier 7 3 2 2 +1 11
11 Lyon 8 2 3 3 +6 9
12 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Brest 7 1 5 1 -2 8
14 Toulouse 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Amiens 7 2 1 4 -4 7
16 Metz 7 2 1 4 -4 7
17 Strasbourg 7 1 3 3 -4 6
18 Monaco 7 1 3 3 -5 6
19 St Etienne 7 1 2 4 -7 5
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Paris SG
30′
🟨 Marquinhos
Half-time 0–0
N. de Préville 🔁
↦ Y. Adli
56′
60′
🔁 K. Mbappé
↦ Pablo Sarabia
Y. Aït Bennasser 🔁
↦ J. Briand
68′
70′
Neymar 0–1
K. Mbappé
72′
🟨 Ángel Di María
L. Benito 🔁
↦ Pablo
77′
88′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ Á. Di María
90′
🟨 Marco Verratti
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-4-2-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
4 Mexer D
3 Pablo D
25 E. Kwateng M
5 Otávio M
19 Y. Adli F
8 A. Tchouaméni M
7 J. Briand F
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
10 S. Kalu M
Bench (7)
12 N. de Préville
17 Y. Aït Bennasser
23 L. Benito
16 G. Poussin
11 F. Kamano
14 V. Jovanović
9 J. Maja

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
2 Thiago Silva D
12 T. Meunier D
20 L. Kurzawa D
5 Marquinhos M
22 A. Diallo D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
27 I. Gueye M
19 Pablo Sarabia F
10 Neymar F
Bench (7)
7 K. Mbappé
14 Juan Bernat
21 Ander Herrera
8 L. Paredes
16 Sergio Rico
18 M. Icardi
3 P. Kimpembe

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,96
U
4,57
B ✓
1,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.