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Bundesliga

Referee: M Gräfe

RB Leipzig

S S S U S

1–3

Full-time

Schalke 04

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

80%

60%

Points per game

2,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,6

2,0

Conceded

0,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 1. · Schalke 04 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+12	11
3	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	M'gladbach	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Wolfsburg	5	2	3	0	+4	9
10	Werder Bremen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Hoffenheim	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-6	4
15	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	FC Koln	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-10	3
18	Paderborn	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+9	7
2	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	M'gladbach	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Hertha	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Union Berlin	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Werder Bremen	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Paderborn	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Schalke 04	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Dortmund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Hoffenheim	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.