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2. Bundesliga
Regensburg
T T S T T
2–2
Full-time
Hamburg
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
29%
71%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,9
2,4
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 8
23 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 14. · Hamburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stuttgart 8 6 2 0 +7 20
2 Hamburg 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Bielefeld 8 4 3 1 +8 15
4 Heidenheim 7 3 2 2 +3 11
5 Sandhausen 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Greuther Furth 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Erzgebirge Aue 7 3 2 2 -2 11
8 Osnabruck 8 3 1 4 +2 10
9 Karlsruhe 7 3 1 3 -2 10
10 St Pauli 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Dresden 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Nurnberg 7 2 3 2 -3 9
13 Hannover 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Regensburg 7 2 1 4 +2 7
15 Darmstadt 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Holstein Kiel 7 1 2 4 -6 5
17 Bochum 7 0 4 3 -4 4
18 Wehen 8 1 1 6 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,72
U ✓
3,88
B
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.