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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Nice
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Lille
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
100%
43%
Both score Ø 72%
100%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 7. · Lille 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 6 0 2 +9 18
2 Nantes 8 5 1 2 +3 16
3 Angers 7 5 0 2 +5 15
4 Lille 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Bordeaux 8 3 3 2 +3 12
6 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 Nice 7 4 0 3 +0 12
8 Reims 7 3 2 2 +4 11
9 Rennes 7 3 2 2 +2 11
10 Montpellier 7 3 2 2 +1 11
11 Lyon 8 2 3 3 +6 9
12 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Brest 7 1 5 1 -2 8
14 Toulouse 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Amiens 7 2 1 4 -4 7
16 Metz 7 2 1 4 -4 7
17 Strasbourg 7 1 3 3 -4 6
18 Monaco 7 1 3 3 -5 6
19 St Etienne 7 1 2 4 -7 5
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Lille
1–0 K. Dolberg
A. Lusamba
13′
14′
🟨 Gabriel
24′
Luiz Araujo 1–1
J. Bamba
Arnaud Lusamba 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🔁 J. Ikoné
↦ Y. Yazıcı
58′
🟨 Benjamin André
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ A. Claude Maurice
60′
79′
🔁 Xeka
↦ Luiz Araujo
M. Maolida 🔁
↦ Y. Atal
87′
89′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ V. Osimhen
Danilo 🟨
90′
Danilo Barbosa 🔁
↦ P. Lees Melou
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
12 R. Coly D
15 P. Burner D
2 S. N'Soki D
20 Y. Atal F
24 A. Pelmard D
25 W. Cyprien M
8 P. Lees Melou M
22 A. Lusamba M
18 A. Claude Maurice F
9 K. Dolberg F
Bench (7)
14 I. Ganago
7 M. Maolida
21 Danilo Barbosa
16 Y. Clementia
23 M. Sarr
11 B. Srarfi
28 H. Boudaoui

Coach: P. Vieira

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
26 J. Pied D
28 Reinildo D
4 Gabriel D
21 B. André M
24 B. Soumaré M
12 Y. Yazıcı M
11 Luiz Araujo M
14 J. Bamba M
7 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
10 J. Ikoné
8 Xeka
9 L. Rémy
18 Renato Sanches
17 M. Çelik
5 A. Soumaoro
1 Léo Jardim

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U ✓
3,19
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.