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Super League
Referee: M Skoulas
2–3
Full-time
Larisa
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
This season — Super League · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

17 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Corners 5
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · Larisa 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Volos NFC 5 4 0 1 -1 12
2 PAOK 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Olympiakos 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 AEK 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Xanthi 4 3 0 1 +0 9
6 OFI Crete 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Larisa 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 Aris Thessalonikis 4 1 2 1 +3 5
9 Aris 5 1 2 2 +2 5
10 Panionios 4 1 1 2 -1 4
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 0 3 -2 3
12 Lamia 4 0 3 1 -2 3
13 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -2 2
14 Panathinaikos 5 0 2 3 -10 2
15 Panetolikos 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Larisa
1–0 Fran Vélez
10′
2–0 Bruno Gama
12′
20′
M. Nunič 2–1
N. Stanković
33′
M. Nunič 2–2
Amr Warda
34′
🟨 Amr Warda
Abou Ba 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–2
55′
🟨 Manolis Bertos
D. Larsson 🔁
↦ Bruno Gama
62′
66′
🔁 F. Andoni
↦ R. Milosavljević
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ A. Ba
70′
74′
Amr Warda 2–3
E. Kaçe
N. Martínez 🔁
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
77′
77′
🔁 J. Bustos
↦ A. Šećerović
79′
🟨 Ögmundur Kristinsson
84′
🟨 Jonathan Bustos
Daniel Sundgren 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Fatjon Andoni
90′
🔁 A. Gojković
↦ Amr Warda
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
1 F. Ehmann G
21 D. Sundgren M
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
16 Bruno Gama M
7 N. Diguiny F
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
98 A. Ba M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (7)
10 D. Larsson
8 L. Duarte
18 N. Martínez
5 G. Delizisis
19 M. Tonso
22 D. Konstantinidis
75 A. Tsilingiris

Coach: A. Terzis

Larisa

3-5-2
1 Ö. Kristinsson G
18 V. Moras D
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
88 N. Stanković D
28 S. Bralić D
26 E. Kaçe M
7 Amr Warda F
22 A. Šećerović M
8 R. Milosavljević M
33 M. Nunič F
Bench (7)
64 F. Andoni
32 J. Bustos
39 A. Gojković
9 A. Dauda
30 S. Živković
99 B. Ristić
20 N. Karanikas

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Skoulas · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
35,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.