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Serie A

Referee: F Pasqua

Brescia

S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Juventus

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

25%

33%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%

13 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 11. · Juventus 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Roma	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Bologna	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+3	6
9	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Torino	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Verona	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Parma	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Spal	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Lecce	4	1	0	3	-7	3
19	Sampdoria	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Spal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.