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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
2–2
Full-time
Waregem
U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Corners 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 6. · Waregem 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 7 2 0 +20 23
2 Standard 9 7 0 2 +17 21
3 Antwerp 8 6 0 2 +11 18
4 Genk 9 5 1 3 +7 16
5 Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 4 3 1 +3 15
7 Mechelen 10 4 3 3 -2 15
8 Gent 8 4 2 2 +9 14
9 Charleroi 8 4 2 2 +5 14
10 Waregem 9 3 4 2 +0 13
11 St Truiden 10 3 3 4 -4 12
12 Oostende 8 3 1 4 -5 10
13 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Anderlecht 9 1 3 5 -5 6
15 Cercle Brugge 9 2 0 7 -11 6
16 Eupen 10 0 4 6 -17 4
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 0 3 5 -14 3
18 Beveren 8 0 3 5 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem
1–0 Aleix García
J. Osabutey
3′
D. Hocko 🟨
34′
S. Allagui 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Aleix García
S. Allagui
50′
F. Boya 🟨
55′
55′
🟨 S. Berahino
59′
🔁 H. Bjørdal
↦ L. Zarandia
59′
🔁 A. Sissako
↦ O. Govea
N. Antonov 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
64′
66′
G. Bruno 2–1
A. Sissako
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ J. Osabutey
81′
89′
🔁 D. Oberlin
↦ D. De fauw
90′
D. Oberlin 2–2
C. Larin
S. Spahiu 🔁
↦ S. Allagui
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

1 J. Butez
33 K. Wimmer
4 N. De Medina
23 Diogo Queirós
6 D. Hočko
24 Aleix García
30 B. Van Durmen
15 F. Boya
9 S. Allagui
7 F. Olinga
45 J. Osabutey
Bench (7)
3 N. Antonov
31 B. Godeau
8 S. Spahiu
90 V. Vasić
13 A. Ciranni
22 Joan Campins
11 D. Mohamed

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
2 D. De fauw
45 O. Deschacht
4 G. Mensah
24 E. Pletinckx
21 I. Seck
7 L. Zarandia
10 O. Govea
19 G. Bruno
38 S. Berahino
9 C. Larin
Bench (7)
20 H. Bjørdal
6 A. Sissako
27 D. Oberlin
67 J. Van Hecke
29 M. De Smet
14 S. Walsh
44 E. Bansen

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.