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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Dortmund

S S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,8

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 80%

80%

Average goals

4,4

4,0

Scored

3,0

1,6

Conceded

1,4

2,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

65% Possession 35%

19 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 7. · Werder Bremen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Schalke 04	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	M'gladbach	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Wolfsburg	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+8	10
8	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+7	10
9	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Werder Bremen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-6	5
12	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-6	4
15	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	FC Koln	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Mainz	6	1	0	5	-11	3
18	Paderborn	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+9	7
2	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	M'gladbach	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Mainz	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Hertha	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Union Berlin	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Werder Bremen	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Paderborn	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Schalke 04	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Dortmund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Hoffenheim	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.