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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Ath Bilbao

U S U S U

0–1

Full-time

Valencia

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 4. · Valencia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Ath Bilbao	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	Villarreal	7	3	2	2	+7	11
6	Granada	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Barcelona	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Betis	7	2	2	3	-5	8
10	Getafe	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Levante	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Osasuna	6	1	4	1	-1	7
13	Valencia	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Celta	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Alaves	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-6	5
19	Mallorca	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Levante	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Betis	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+2	6
10	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Celta	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Granada	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Granada	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Espanol	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Barcelona	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Alaves	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Betis	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Mallorca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.