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Serie A

Referee: M Di Bello

Bologna

T S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Spal

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 12. · Spal 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.