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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Bologna

T T U T T

2–0

Full-time

Roma

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

1,3

3,5

Scored

0,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%

11 Shots 26

2 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 10

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 19. · Roma 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Fiorentina	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Spal	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+6	7
7	Inter	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Parma	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Udinese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Torino	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	+1	4
16	Milan	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Chievo	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Spal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Cagliari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+4	3
5	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Torino	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.