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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

Barcelona

S T S T S

2–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

5,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,23 xG 0,25

70% Possession 30%

22 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

12 Corners 5

8 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 7. · Ath Bilbao 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.2	6
2	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.5	6
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.3	4
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
6	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+5	+3.7	3
8	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
9	Getafe	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
10	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
11	La Coruna	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
12	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
13	Santander	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.3	1
14	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.4	1
15	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
16	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
17	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
18	Elche	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.8	1
19	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
20	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
5	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
8	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
10	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
11	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
12	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
14	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
15	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
16	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+5	+3.7	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
7	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
8	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
9	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
10	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
12	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
13	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
14	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
15	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
16	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.