Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Ath Bilbao

U T S S S

0–3

Full-time

Barcelona

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Ath Bilbao Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 62%

51%

73%

Points per game

1,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

35%

70%

Both score Ø 57%

51%

62%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,20 xG 3,49

24% Possession 76%

10 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

6 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 4. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	37	27	4	6	+60	+45.1	85
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	+40	+31.7	84
3	Ath Madrid	38	22	10	6	+38	+32.6	76
4	Ath Bilbao	37	19	13	5	+28	+17.2	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	+20	+21.0	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	+7	+5.0	60
7	Celta	38	16	7	15	+2	+12.2	55
8	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	-4	-8.5	52
9	Vallecano	38	13	13	12	-4	-3.9	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	-9	-8.5	48
11	Valencia	38	11	13	14	-10	-8.6	46
12	Sociedad	38	13	7	18	-11	-0.8	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	-5	-7.9	42
14	Alaves	38	10	12	16	-10	-3.1	42
15	Espanol	38	11	9	18	-11	-20.2	42
16	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	-13	-5.3	41
17	Girona	38	11	8	19	-16	-7.3	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	-17	-24.5	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	-21	-32.2	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	-64	-34.0	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	16	1	2	+26	+27.7	49
2	Ath Madrid	19	14	4	1	+27	+27.2	46
3	Barcelona	19	14	1	4	+32	+34.3	43
4	Ath Bilbao	18	11	6	1	+22	+14.3	39
5	Celta	19	11	3	5	+11	+9.1	36
6	Osasuna	19	10	6	3	+10	+2.6	36
7	Villarreal	19	9	7	3	+16	+12.1	34
8	Betis	19	9	7	3	+11	+14.4	34
9	Valencia	19	9	4	6	+6	+4.8	31
10	Espanol	19	8	6	5	+3	-3.6	30
11	Sociedad	19	8	3	8	+0	+5.6	27
12	Mallorca	19	7	6	6	-1	-2.3	27
13	Vallecano	19	6	8	5	-2	+6.5	26
14	Leganes	19	7	4	8	-4	-8.1	25
15	Girona	19	7	3	9	-3	+2.3	24
16	Alaves	19	6	6	7	-3	+1.7	24
17	Sevilla	19	6	6	7	-6	+0.0	24
18	Getafe	19	4	7	8	-4	+1.9	19
19	Las Palmas	19	4	5	10	-8	-8.1	17
20	Valladolid	19	3	4	12	-21	-10.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	13	3	2	+28	+10.8	42
2	Villarreal	19	11	3	5	+4	+8.9	36
3	Real Madrid	19	10	5	4	+14	+4.0	35
4	Ath Bilbao	19	8	7	4	+6	+2.9	31
5	Ath Madrid	19	8	6	5	+11	+5.4	30
6	Vallecano	19	7	5	7	-2	-10.4	26
7	Betis	19	7	5	7	-4	-9.4	26
8	Getafe	19	7	2	10	-1	-9.8	23
9	Mallorca	19	6	3	10	-8	-6.2	21
10	Celta	19	5	4	10	-9	+3.1	19
11	Sociedad	19	5	4	10	-11	-6.4	19
12	Alaves	19	4	6	9	-7	-4.8	18
13	Sevilla	19	4	5	10	-7	-5.3	17
14	Girona	19	4	5	10	-13	-9.6	17
15	Osasuna	19	2	10	7	-14	-11.1	16
16	Las Palmas	19	4	3	12	-13	-24.1	15
17	Leganes	19	2	9	8	-13	-16.5	15
18	Valencia	19	2	9	8	-16	-13.4	15
19	Espanol	19	3	3	13	-14	-16.7	12
20	Valladolid	19	1	0	18	-43	-23.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.