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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Mallorca
U T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Getafe
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
39%
31%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
39%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,42 xG 1,61
73% Possession 27%
7 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 10. · Getafe 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 4 5 +61 +45.4 85
2 Real Madrid 36 24 6 6 +36 +28.4 78
3 Ath Madrid 36 20 10 6 +31 +26.0 70
4 Ath Bilbao 36 18 13 5 +27 +16.3 67
5 Villarreal 36 18 10 8 +17 +21.1 64
6 Betis 36 16 11 9 +10 +8.8 59
7 Celta 36 15 7 14 +2 +9.6 52
8 Vallecano 36 12 12 12 -5 -3.7 48
9 Osasuna 36 11 15 10 -6 -8.6 48
10 Mallorca 36 13 8 15 -8 -5.9 47
11 Valencia 36 11 12 13 -9 -7.5 45
12 Sociedad 36 12 7 17 -10 +1.2 43
13 Sevilla 36 10 11 15 -9 -4.2 41
14 Girona 36 11 8 17 -11 -4.8 41
15 Getafe 36 10 9 17 -5 -8.0 39
16 Espanol 36 10 9 17 -11 -21.2 39
17 Alaves 36 9 11 16 -11 -3.2 38
18 Leganes 36 7 13 16 -21 -27.2 34
19 Las Palmas 36 8 8 20 -18 -29.9 32
20 Valladolid 36 4 4 28 -60 -32.4 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Getafe
Half-time 0–0
Pablo Maffeo 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Luis Milla
56′
M. Arambarri 0–1
Ramon Terrats
C. Larin 🔁
↦ Pablo Maffeo
59′
60′
🔁 Juan Berrocal
↦ Domingos Duarte
65′
C. Uche 0–2
A. Nyom
Marc Domenech 🔁
↦ Mateu Morey
70′
Antonio Sánchez 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
71′
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ V. Muriqi
79′
Valery 🔁
↦ Samú Costa
79′
82′
🟨 Álvaro Rodriguez
82′
🔁 Á. Rodríguez
↦ Borja Mayoral
82′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ Ramon Terrats
91′
🔁 Yellu Santiago
↦ C. Uche
1–2 C. Larin
Darder
93′
Manu Morlanes 🟨
100′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
2 Mateu Morey D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
22 J. Mojica D
5 Omar Mascarell M
12 Samú Costa M
23 Pablo Maffeo M
10 Darder M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
17 C. Larin
30 Marc Domenech
18 Antonio Sánchez
8 Manu Morlanes
16 Valery
6 Copete
3 Toni Lato
28 Miquel Salas
27 Robert Navarro
32 David López
13 Leo Román
25 Iván Cuéllar

Coach: Arrasate

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
12 A. Nyom D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 O. Alderete D
16 Diego Rico D
21 Juan Iglesias M
5 Luis Milla M
8 M. Arambarri M
6 C. Uche M
11 Ramon Terrats F
9 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (12)
4 Juan Berrocal
18 Á. Rodríguez
14 Juan Bernat
20 Yellu Santiago
29 Coba
24 Juanmi
1 J. Letáček
28 I. Bekhoucha
17 Carles Pérez
19 P. Federico
37 Luca Lohr
10 B. Yıldırım

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U
3,20
B ✓
4,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,67
U2,5
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.