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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Barcelona

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Sevilla

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

1,5

Scored

3,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 28/29 matches

Win Ø 53%

54%

52%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

28%

Both score Ø 53%

61%

45%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 4. · Sevilla 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	30	21	6	3	+35	69
2	Sevilla	29	15	12	2	+21	57
3	Ath Madrid	30	17	6	7	+20	57
4	Barcelona	28	15	9	4	+27	54
5	Betis	30	16	5	9	+18	53
6	Sociedad	29	13	9	7	+0	48
7	Villarreal	30	12	9	9	+19	45
8	Ath Bilbao	30	11	11	8	+6	44
9	Valencia	30	10	11	9	-1	41
10	Osasuna	30	10	8	12	-10	38
11	Celta	30	9	9	12	+0	36
12	Espanol	29	9	9	11	-6	36
13	Vallecano	29	9	6	14	-5	33
14	Getafe	30	7	11	12	-5	32
15	Elche	30	8	8	14	-11	32
16	Granada	30	6	11	13	-15	29
17	Cadiz	30	5	13	12	-16	28
18	Mallorca	30	6	8	16	-24	26
19	Levante	30	4	10	16	-25	22
20	Alaves	30	5	7	18	-28	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Sevilla	14	10	4	0	+17	34
3	Ath Madrid	15	10	3	2	+15	33
4	Villarreal	15	9	4	2	+21	31
5	Barcelona	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Betis	16	9	2	5	+12	29
7	Espanol	15	8	4	3	+6	28
8	Sociedad	14	8	4	2	+5	28
9	Vallecano	15	8	3	4	+10	27
10	Ath Bilbao	15	8	3	4	+9	27
11	Getafe	15	7	4	4	+7	25
12	Valencia	15	5	7	3	+4	22
13	Elche	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Celta	16	5	4	7	+0	19
15	Mallorca	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Osasuna	15	4	6	5	-6	18
17	Granada	15	4	5	6	-5	17
18	Levante	15	3	7	5	-3	16
19	Alaves	15	4	4	7	-6	16
20	Cadiz	15	2	8	5	-6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	2	2	+16	35
2	Barcelona	15	6	7	2	+9	25
3	Betis	14	7	3	4	+6	24
4	Ath Madrid	15	7	3	5	+5	24
5	Sevilla	15	5	8	2	+4	23
6	Osasuna	15	6	2	7	-4	20
7	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	-5	20
8	Valencia	15	5	4	6	-5	19
9	Celta	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	Ath Bilbao	15	3	8	4	-3	17
11	Villarreal	15	3	5	7	-2	14
12	Cadiz	15	3	5	7	-10	14
13	Granada	15	2	6	7	-10	12
14	Elche	16	3	3	10	-12	12
15	Espanol	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Mallorca	15	2	2	11	-20	8
17	Getafe	15	0	7	8	-12	7
18	Vallecano	14	1	3	10	-15	6
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-22	6
20	Alaves	15	1	3	11	-22	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.