La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Barcelona
Sevilla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | +32 | +1.0 | 50 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | +23 | +3.5 | 45 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +9 | +0.5 | 39 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +12 | +3.8 | 35 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +5 | +0.6 | 31 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +4 | +0.1 | 31 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +8 | -0.0 | 29 |
| 8 |
Vallecano
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +3 | -0.5 | 29 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +0 | -2.8 | 29 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | -2 | -2.2 | 28 |
| 11 |
Girona
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -2 | -1.0 | 24 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -10 | -1.2 | 23 |
| 13 |
Valladolid
|
20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -13 | -3.3 | 23 |
| 14 |
Almeria
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -6 | +0.9 | 22 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -5 | +4.1 | 21 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | -6 | +0.8 | 21 |
| 17 |
Valencia
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | +1 | -3.2 | 20 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -18 | -0.4 | 19 |
| 19 |
Getafe
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -10 | -0.4 | 18 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | -25 | -0.3 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Betis
Barcelona
Girona
Barcelona
Barcelona
Sociedad
Barcelona
Getafe
Ceuta
Barcelona
José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.