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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Barcelona
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Sevilla
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 55%
84%
26%
Points per game
2,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
26%
68%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,66 xG 0,12
65% Possession 35%
16 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Sevilla 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 16 2 1 +32 +1.0 50
2 Real Madrid 20 14 3 3 +23 +3.5 45
3 Sociedad 20 12 3 5 +9 +0.5 39
4 Ath Madrid 20 10 5 5 +12 +3.8 35
5 Villarreal 20 9 4 7 +5 +0.6 31
6 Betis 20 9 4 7 +4 +0.1 31
7 Ath Bilbao 20 8 5 7 +8 -0.0 29
8 Vallecano 19 8 5 6 +3 -0.5 29
9 Osasuna 20 8 5 7 +0 -2.8 29
10 Mallorca 20 8 4 8 -2 -2.2 28
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 -2 -1.0 24
12 Celta 20 6 5 9 -10 -1.2 23
13 Valladolid 20 7 2 11 -13 -3.3 23
14 Almeria 19 6 4 9 -6 +0.9 22
15 Sevilla 19 5 6 8 -5 +4.1 21
16 Espanol 20 4 9 7 -6 +0.8 21
17 Valencia 20 5 5 10 +1 -3.2 20
18 Cadiz 20 4 7 9 -18 -0.4 19
19 Getafe 20 4 6 10 -10 -0.4 18
20 Elche 20 1 6 13 -25 -0.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
5,39
B
9,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.