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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Osasuna

T S T S U

4–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,2

3,3

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 72%

43%

100%

Points per game

1,6

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

57%

86%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,1

3,3

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+2,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,25 xG 0,68

25% Possession 75%

11 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 8

10 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 3

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 7. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+18	+11.1	21
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+11	+11.3	17
3	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+8	+5.1	15
4	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+2	+1.5	14
5	Villarreal	7	4	2	1	+0	+0.6	14
6	Ath Bilbao	7	4	1	2	+4	-0.5	13
7	Osasuna	7	3	2	2	-3	-2.9	11
8	Vallecano	8	2	4	2	+1	-0.6	10
9	Alaves	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.4	10
10	Celta	7	3	0	4	+0	+2.2	9
11	Betis	7	2	3	2	+0	+4.6	9
12	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.7	8
13	Girona	7	2	2	3	-2	+4.2	8
14	Sevilla	7	2	2	3	-2	+0.7	8
15	Getafe	8	1	4	3	-1	-0.0	7
16	Espanol	7	2	1	4	-4	-6.8	7
17	Leganes	8	1	4	3	-4	-5.1	7
18	Valencia	8	1	2	5	-8	-8.9	5
19	Valladolid	8	1	2	5	-13	-8.4	5
20	Las Palmas	7	0	3	4	-5	-7.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+9	+8.2	12
2	Osasuna	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.9	10
3	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.5	9
4	Celta	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.9	9
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	+5.5	7
6	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
7	Betis	4	2	1	1	+2	+4.2	7
8	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.2	7
9	Getafe	4	1	3	0	+2	+3.5	6
10	Espanol	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.7	6
11	Sevilla	4	2	0	2	-1	+1.0	6
12	Vallecano	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.8	5
13	Valencia	4	1	2	1	+1	-1.7	5
14	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.2	5
15	Valladolid	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.6	5
16	Girona	3	1	1	1	+1	+3.7	4
17	Villarreal	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.4	4
18	Las Palmas	4	0	3	1	-1	-4.8	3
19	Sociedad	4	1	0	3	-1	+0.7	3
20	Leganes	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+9	+5.6	12
2	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+3	+2.0	10
3	Mallorca	4	3	0	1	+2	+1.7	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.4	8
5	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.7	6
6	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.1	5
7	Vallecano	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.5	5
8	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.4	5
9	Leganes	5	0	4	1	-2	-4.7	4
10	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.6	4
11	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.3	3
12	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.3	2
13	Betis	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.4	2
14	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-3	-3.5	1
15	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-4	-6.1	1
16	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.8	1
17	Celta	3	0	0	3	-4	+0.4	0
18	Las Palmas	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.9	0
19	Valencia	4	0	0	4	-9	-7.2	0
20	Valladolid	4	0	0	4	-13	-7.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.