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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Valladolid
S U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Espanol
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,80 xG 0,66
45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celta 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.8 3
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.2 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.0 3
4 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
5 Sevilla 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
6 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
7 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
8 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
9 Real Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
10 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.8 1
11 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.8 1
12 Betis 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
13 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
14 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.8 0
15 Valencia 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.2 0
16 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Espanol
1–0 Raúl Moro
A. Ndiaye
23′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ Pere Milla
57′
🔁 A. Král
↦ Pol Lozano
S. Jurić 🔁
↦ Javi Sánchez
62′
Iván Sánchez 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
70′
Víctor Meseguer 🔁
↦ S. Amallah
70′
70′
🔁 Antoniu Roca
↦ A. Véliz
70′
🔁 Jofre Carreras
↦ Álvaro Tejero
72′
🟨 Antoniu Roca
78′
🔁 Álvaro Aguado
↦ José Gragera
Lucas Rosa 🟨
80′
Chuky 🔁
↦ Kike Pérez
82′
David Torres 🔁
↦ E. Cömert
82′
87′
🟨 Irvin Cardona
Iván Sánchez 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,10
B
3,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.