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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Sevilla

U U U T S

2–3

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 62%

52%

71%

Points per game

1,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

29%

61%

Both score Ø 49%

45%

52%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	31	22	6	3	+37	72
2	Barcelona	30	17	9	4	+29	60
3	Sevilla	31	16	12	3	+22	60
4	Ath Madrid	32	18	6	8	+20	60
5	Betis	32	17	6	9	+19	57
6	Sociedad	32	15	10	7	+2	55
7	Villarreal	32	13	10	9	+20	49
8	Ath Bilbao	32	11	12	9	+4	45
9	Osasuna	32	12	8	12	-8	44
10	Valencia	32	10	12	10	-2	42
11	Celta	32	10	9	13	+1	39
12	Espanol	32	10	9	13	-7	39
13	Elche	32	9	8	15	-9	35
14	Vallecano	31	9	7	15	-6	34
15	Getafe	32	7	11	14	-8	32
16	Granada	32	6	11	15	-20	29
17	Mallorca	32	7	8	17	-26	29
18	Cadiz	31	5	13	13	-17	28
19	Levante	32	5	10	17	-23	25
20	Alaves	32	6	7	19	-28	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	11	4	1	+21	37
2	Sevilla	15	11	4	0	+19	37
3	Ath Madrid	16	11	3	2	+16	36
4	Villarreal	16	9	5	2	+21	32
5	Barcelona	14	10	2	2	+19	32
6	Sociedad	16	9	5	2	+6	32
7	Espanol	16	9	4	3	+7	31
8	Betis	16	9	2	5	+12	29
9	Vallecano	16	8	4	4	+10	28
10	Ath Bilbao	16	8	3	5	+7	27
11	Getafe	16	7	4	5	+6	25
12	Elche	16	6	5	5	+3	23
13	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+3	22
14	Mallorca	16	5	6	5	-3	21
15	Osasuna	16	5	6	5	-5	21
16	Celta	16	5	4	7	+0	19
17	Alaves	16	5	4	7	-5	19
18	Granada	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Levante	16	3	7	6	-4	16
20	Cadiz	16	2	8	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	2	2	+16	35
2	Barcelona	16	7	7	2	+10	28
3	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Ath Madrid	16	7	3	6	+4	24
5	Sevilla	16	5	8	3	+3	23
6	Osasuna	16	7	2	7	-3	23
7	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	-4	23
8	Celta	16	5	5	6	+1	20
9	Valencia	16	5	5	6	-5	20
10	Ath Bilbao	16	3	9	4	-3	18
11	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-1	17
12	Cadiz	15	3	5	7	-10	14
13	Granada	16	2	6	8	-12	12
14	Elche	16	3	3	10	-12	12
15	Levante	16	2	3	11	-19	9
16	Espanol	16	1	5	10	-14	8
17	Mallorca	16	2	2	12	-23	8
18	Getafe	16	0	7	9	-14	7
19	Vallecano	15	1	3	11	-16	6
20	Alaves	16	1	3	12	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.