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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Eibar
T S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Sevilla
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 15. · Sevilla 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 4 2 1 +10 14
2 Real Madrid 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 Ath Madrid 6 3 2 1 +4 11
4 Alaves 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Espanol 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +7 10
7 Celta 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Betis 6 2 3 1 -1 9
9 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 Getafe 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Sociedad 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 Valencia 7 1 5 1 -1 8
13 Girona 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Ath Bilbao 6 1 4 1 -2 7
15 Eibar 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -1 6
17 Vallecano 6 1 2 3 -7 5
18 Levante 6 1 1 4 -4 4
19 Leganes 6 1 1 4 -5 4
20 Huesca 6 1 1 4 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sevilla
Iván Ramis 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–1
47′
André Silva 0–1
Jesús Navas
Fabián Orellana 🟨
56′
59′
É. Banega 0–2
Charles 🔁
↦ Kike
69′
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ Sergio Álvarez
69′
73′
🔁 Roque Mesa
↦ Pablo Sarabia
80′
🟨 Éver Banega
Arbilla 🔁
↦ Ramis
83′
83′
🔁 Q. Promes
↦ W. Ben Yedder
89′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
90′
🟨 Guilherme Arana
92′
🔁 L. Muriel
↦ André Silva
94′
É. Banega 0–3
L. Muriel
1–3 Joan Jordán
Pablo Hervías
99′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
4 Ramis D
15 Cote D
3 Bigas D
8 P. Diop M
14 F. Orellana M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
18 Pablo Hervías M
11 Rubén Peña D
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
19 Charles
24 Joan Jordán
23 Arbilla
12 Paulo Oliveira
13 Asier Riesgo
16 P. De Blasis
20 Marc Cucurella

Coach: Mendilibar

Sevilla

3-5-2
1 T. Vaclík G
4 S. Kjær D
6 Daniel Carriço D
3 Sergi Gómez D
23 Guilherme Arana M
16 Jesús Navas M
10 É. Banega M
22 F. Vázquez M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
12 André Silva F
Bench (7)
7 Roque Mesa
21 Q. Promes
14 L. Muriel
8 Nolito
13 Juan Soriano
24 J. Gnagnon
37 Juan Berrocal

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.