La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Eibar
Granada
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ath Madrid
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +23 | 38 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 36 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +5 | 29 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +14 | 25 |
| 7 |
Granada
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 24 |
| 8 |
Celta
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | +0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 20 |
| 11 |
Cadiz
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 |
Levante
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 |
Valencia
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 15 |
| 19 |
Osasuna
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Dmitrović
G
Bigas
D
Edu Expósito
M
Bryan Gil
M
Coach: Mendilibar
Rui Silva
G
Vallejo
D
Carlos Neva
D
Y. Herrera
M
L. Suárez
F
Coach: Diego Martínez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Barcelona
Eibar
Alaves
Eibar
Eibar
Real Madrid
Sociedad
Eibar
Eibar
Valencia
Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.