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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Eibar
U U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Granada
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 33%
19%
47%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
31%
40%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 16. · Granada 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 15 12 2 1 +23 38
2 Real Madrid 17 11 3 3 +15 36
3 Sociedad 17 8 5 4 +14 29
4 Villarreal 17 7 8 2 +5 29
5 Sevilla 15 8 3 4 +7 27
6 Barcelona 15 7 4 4 +14 25
7 Granada 15 7 3 5 -4 24
8 Celta 17 6 5 6 -2 23
9 Ath Bilbao 17 6 3 8 +0 21
10 Betis 17 6 2 9 -11 20
11 Cadiz 16 5 4 7 -9 19
12 Levante 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Alaves 17 4 6 7 -5 18
14 Valladolid 17 4 6 7 -8 18
15 Getafe 16 4 5 7 -5 17
16 Eibar 16 3 7 6 -4 16
17 Elche 15 3 7 5 -5 16
18 Valencia 16 3 6 7 -2 15
19 Osasuna 15 3 4 8 -10 13
20 Huesca 16 1 9 6 -11 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Granada
Papakouli Diop 🟨
4′
Edu Expósito 🟨
27′
40′
🟨 Germán Sánchez
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Bryan Gil
55′
66′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Soldado
66′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ M. Gonalons
66′
🔁 Alberto Soro
↦ Kenedy
Arbilla 🔁
↦ T. Inui
68′
Y. Muto 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
75′
75′
🔁 Víctor Díaz
↦ Carlos Neva
2–0 Bryan Gil
Kike
76′
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ Kike
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
4 Paulo Oliveira D
3 Bigas D
11 Rafa D
8 P. Diop M
14 T. Inui M
22 Alejandro Pozo D
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (12)
23 Arbilla
12 Y. Muto
6 Sergio Álvarez
19 D. Kądzior
31 Sergio Cubero
13 Yoel
21 Pedro León
16 Roberto Olabe
24 Kévin Rodrigues
7 Quique González
2 E. Burgos
18 Recio

Coach: Mendilibar

Granada

4-4-2
1 Rui Silva G
6 Germán Sánchez D
17 Quini D
20 Vallejo D
15 Carlos Neva D
4 M. Gonalons M
10 Antonio Puertas M
24 Kenedy M
21 Y. Herrera M
9 Soldado F
7 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
23 Jorge Molina
8 Y. Eteki
26 Alberto Soro
16 Víctor Díaz
28 Pepe Sánchez
12 R. Azeez
35 Andorinha
27 Antonio Aranda
3 N. Pérez
13 Aarón Escandell
14 Fede Vico

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,10
B
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.