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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Barcelona
U S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Getafe
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 59%
65%
52%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
70%
35%
Both score Ø 48%
61%
35%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
2,4
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

75% Possession 25%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 30
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Getafe 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 23 15 7 1 +30 52
2 Barcelona 23 15 4 4 +27 49
3 Getafe 23 12 6 5 +15 42
4 Ath Madrid 24 10 10 4 +8 40
5 Sevilla 23 11 6 6 +6 39
6 Valencia 24 10 8 6 +1 38
7 Sociedad 23 11 4 8 +8 37
8 Villarreal 23 10 5 8 +9 35
9 Ath Bilbao 23 7 10 6 +4 31
10 Granada 23 9 3 11 -3 30
11 Levante 23 9 2 12 -5 29
12 Osasuna 23 6 10 7 -2 28
13 Betis 23 7 7 9 -5 28
14 Alaves 24 7 6 11 -9 27
15 Valladolid 23 5 11 7 -6 26
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Mallorca 24 6 3 15 -16 21
18 Celta 23 4 8 11 -13 20
19 Leganes 23 4 6 13 -18 18
20 Espanol 23 4 6 13 -21 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Getafe
Junior Firpo 🔁
↦ Jordi Alba
22′
1–0 A. Griezmann
L. Messi
33′
2–0 Sergi Roberto
39′
Half-time 2–0
Samuel Umtiti 🟨
49′
52′
🔁 Kenedy
↦ M. Olivera
52′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Jorge Molina
66′
Ángel 2–1
Mata
67′
🔁 A. Ndiaye
↦ O. Etebo
73′
🟨 Jaime Mata
I. Rakitić 🔁
↦ Arthur
75′
Junior Firpo 🟨
82′
Ansu Fati 🟨
85′
A. Vidal 🔁
↦ Ansu Fati
85′
89′
🟨 Kenedy
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
20 Sergi Roberto D
3 Gerard Piqué D
23 Samuel Umtiti D
18 Jordi Alba D
21 Frenkie de Jong M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Arthur M
10 Lionel Messi F
17 Antoine Griezmann F
31 Ansu Fati F
Bench (7)
13 Neto
33 Ronald Araujo
2 Nélson Semedo
24 Junior Firpo
4 Ivan Rakitić
22 Arturo Vidal
41 Rey Manaj

Coach: Quique Setién

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
12 Allan Nyom D
2 Djené D
16 Xabier Etxeita D
17 Mathias Olivera D
5 Oghenekaro Etebo M
18 Mauro Arambarri M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
15 Marc Cucurella M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
4 Erick Cabaco
24 David Timor
25 Kenedy
9 Ángel Rodríguez
14 Deyverson
11 Amath Ndiaye

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
U
4,53
B
7,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.