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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Real Madrid

S S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Valladolid

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 9. · Valladolid 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	Betis	4	2	0	2	-1	6
5	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+2	5
7	Celta	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
9	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Huesca	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.