← Match Finder
La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Real Madrid
S U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Osasuna
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Real Madrid Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,2
1,4
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 4. · Osasuna 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +3 13
2 Ath Bilbao 6 3 3 0 +5 12
3 Granada 6 3 2 1 +6 11
4 Real Madrid 5 3 2 0 +4 11
5 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Getafe 6 1 4 1 +1 7
11 Osasuna 5 1 4 0 +1 7
12 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Valencia 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Alaves 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Celta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
18 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -6 4
19 Eibar 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Leganes 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Osasuna
Éder Militão 🟨
10′
1–0 Vinícius Júnior
T. Kroos
36′
41′
🟨 Lillo Castellano
Half-time 1–0
Nacho Fernández 🟨
57′
65′
🔁 Juan Villar
↦ Brandon
65′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ Cardona
70′
🔁 Roberto Torres
↦ Robert Ibáñez
Rodrygo 🔁
↦ Vinícius Júnior
71′
2–0 Rodrygo
Casemiro
72′
80′
🟨 Chimy Ávila
J. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ F. Valverde
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-1-4-1
1 Alphonse Aréola G
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
3 Éder Militão D
4 Sergio Ramos D
6 Nacho Fernández D
14 Casemiro M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
15 Federico Valverde M
8 Toni Kroos M
25 Vinícius Júnior M
18 Luka Jović F
Bench (7)
13 Thibaut Courtois
5 Raphaël Varane
2 Daniel Carvajal
27 Rodrygo
16 James Rodríguez
7 Eden Hazard
9 Karim Benzema

Coach: Z. Zidane

Osasuna

4-4-2
13 Rubén Martínez G
16 Lillo Castellano D
3 Raúl Navas D
12 Facundo Roncaglia D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
17 Robert Ibáñez M
27 Jon Moncayola M
8 Fran Mérida M
14 Rubén García M
7 Marc Cardona F
11 Brandon F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Herrera
2 Nacho Vidal
23 Aridane Hernandez
28 Luis Perea
10 Roberto Torres
9 Chimy Ávila
18 Juan Villar

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,45
B
11,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,43
U2,5 ✓
2,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.