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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Mallorca

S T T U T

0–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 37%

40%

33%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

2,4

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

8 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mallorca 17. · Ath Madrid 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	6	3	2	1	+6	11
2	Ath Bilbao	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Barcelona	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	Betis	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Osasuna	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Levante	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-3	6
14	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Alaves	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Celta	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Levante	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Betis	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Granada	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Granada	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	+1	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Barcelona	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Mallorca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.