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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Villarreal

T S U U T

2–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,5

3,0

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Villarreal 17. · Real Madrid 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Levante	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Osasuna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Granada	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Betis	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Celta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Granada	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
4	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Barcelona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.