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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Real Madrid
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Valladolid
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
22 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Valladolid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Betis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Barcelona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,21
U ✓
6,97
B
13,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,36
U2,5 ✓
3,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.