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La Liga
Referee: José González
Leganes
T T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,0
1,4
Scored
0,4
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 20. · Ath Bilbao 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 6 3 2 1 +6 11
2 Ath Bilbao 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Real Madrid 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +3 10
6 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Ath Madrid 5 3 1 1 +1 10
8 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Osasuna 5 1 4 0 +1 7
11 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Getafe 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Valencia 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Alaves 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Celta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Mallorca 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -6 4
19 Eibar 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Leganes 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Ath Bilbao
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Muniain
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
59′
Raúl García 0–1
1–1 Óscar Rodríguez
61′
José Arnáiz 🔁
↦ Marc Navarro
71′
M. Braithwaite 🔁
↦ G. Carrillo
71′
75′
🟨 Dani García
79′
🔁 Ibai Gómez
↦ Gaizka Larrazabal
Recio 🔁
↦ Roque Mesa
85′
89′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ Williams
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leganes

3-1-4-2
13 Juan Soriano G
3 Unai Bustinza D
4 Kenneth Omeruo D
12 Chidozie Awaziem D
21 Rubén Pérez M
2 Marc Navarro M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
6 Roque Mesa M
24 Kevin Rodrigues M
26 Youssef En-Nesyri F
18 Guido Carrillo F
Bench (7)
30 André Felipe Grandi
5 Jonathan Silva
22 Dimitrios Siovas
8 Recio
19 Aitor Ruibal
10 José Manuel Arnáiz
7 Martin Braithwaite

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
21 Ander Capa D
3 Unai Núñez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
7 Beñat Etxebarria M
14 Dani García M
12 Gaizka Larrazabal M
22 Raúl García M
11 Íñigo Córdoba M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
1 Unai Simon
15 Íñigo Lekue
5 Yeray Álvarez
16 Mikel Vesga
19 Ibai Gómez
23 Kenan Kodro
10 Iker Muniain

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U ✓
2,94
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,98
U2,5 ✓
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José González · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.