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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Valencia
U T S T U
3–3
Full-time
Getafe
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

62% Possession 38%
8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 26
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 14. · Getafe 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +3 13
2 Ath Bilbao 6 3 3 0 +5 12
3 Granada 6 3 2 1 +6 11
4 Real Madrid 5 3 2 0 +4 11
5 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Osasuna 5 1 4 0 +1 7
11 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Getafe 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Valencia 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Alaves 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Celta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
18 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -6 4
19 Eibar 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Leganes 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Getafe
1′
Mata 0–1
Jason
M. Gómez 🔁
↦ K. Gameiro
10′
14′
🟨 Allan Nyom
1–1 M. Gómez
30′
Maximiliano Gómez 🟨
31′
2–1 M. Gómez
Dani Parejo
34′
3–1 Lee Kang-In
Rodrigo
39′
41′
🟨 Jaime Mata
45′
🟨 Jason
Half-time 3–1
54′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Jorge Molina
56′
🟨 Djené
60′
🔁 Kenedy
↦ A. Nyom
66′
Jason 3–2
Kenedy
69′
Ángel 3–3
D. Suárez
Gonçalo Guedes 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
73′
81′
🔁 Portillo
↦ Jason
D. Wass 🔁
↦ G. Kondogbia
83′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
1 Jaume Doménech G
2 Thierry Correia D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
12 Mouctar Diakhaby D
3 Jaume Costa D
17 Francis Coquelin M
10 Dani Parejo M
6 Geoffrey Kondogbia M
16 Kang-in Lee M
19 Rodrigo F
9 Kévin Gameiro F
Bench (7)
13 Jasper Cillessen
24 Ezequiel Garay
11 Denis Cheryshev
20 Ferrán Torres
7 Gonçalo Guedes
18 Daniel Wass
22 Maximiliano Gómez

Coach: Celades

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
2 Djené D
6 Leandro Cabrera D
12 Allan Nyom D
23 Jason M
18 Mauro Arambarri M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
15 Marc Cucurella M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
4 Bruno González
24 David Timor
8 Francisco Portillo
21 Fayçal Fajr
25 Kenedy
9 Ángel Rodríguez

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,31
B
4,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.