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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Getafe
T S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 18. · Ath Bilbao 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Valladolid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Betis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Barcelona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Ath Bilbao
4′
🟨 Ander Capa
6′
Raúl García 0–1
Capa
1–1 Mata
Cucurella
12′
Bergara 🔁
↦ Nemanja Maksimović
41′
Half-time 1–1
48′
🔁 Gaizka Larrazabal
↦ De Marcos
Damián Suárez 🟨
65′
A. Nyom 🔁
↦ Raúl García
66′
74′
🔁 Aduriz
↦ Beñat
Portillo 🔁
↦ F. Fajr
77′
Markel Bergara 🟨
84′
90′
🔁 San José
↦ Muniain
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
2 Djené D
6 Leandro Cabrera D
14 Raúl García D
21 Fayçal Fajr M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
18 Mauro Arambarri M
15 Marc Cucurella M
10 Enric Gallego F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
12 Allan Nyom
4 Bruno González
16 Xabier Etxeita
5 Markel Bergara
8 Francisco Portillo
9 Ángel Rodríguez

Coach: José Bordalás

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
21 Ander Capa D
3 Unai Núñez D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
14 Dani García M
7 Beñat Etxebarria M
18 Óscar de Marcos M
22 Raúl García M
10 Iker Muniain M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
4 Iñigo Martínez
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
19 Ibai Gómez
8 Unai López
6 Mikel San José
20 Aritz Aduriz

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U ✓
2,94
B
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,84
U2,5 ✓
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.