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DFB-Pokal

Referee: F Badstübner

Osnabruck

S S T T U

1–3

Full-time

FC Koln

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
49	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
50	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
51	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
53	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
54	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
55	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
56	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
57	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
58	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
20	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
21	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
22	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
23	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
24	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
25	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
26	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
27	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
28	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
29	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.