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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Dortmund

S S S S T

3–2

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,5

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

23 Shots 9

13 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

4 Corners 7

4 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 7. · Hoffenheim 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.