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Bundesliga

Referee: P Ittrich

Bochum

T S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Mainz

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bochum 14. · Mainz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
9	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
10	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.