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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Augsburg
T T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 13. · Wolfsburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 3 2 +32 48
2 RB Leipzig 19 11 5 3 +15 38
3 Wolfsburg 19 9 8 2 +11 35
4 Ein Frankfurt 19 8 9 2 +10 33
5 Leverkusen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
6 Dortmund 19 10 2 7 +11 32
7 M'gladbach 19 8 8 3 +7 32
8 Union Berlin 19 7 8 4 +10 29
9 Freiburg 19 7 6 6 +1 27
10 Stuttgart 19 6 7 6 +6 25
11 Werder Bremen 19 5 7 7 -3 22
12 Hoffenheim 19 6 4 9 -5 22
13 Augsburg 19 6 4 9 -10 22
14 FC Koln 19 4 6 9 -14 18
15 Hertha 20 4 5 11 -11 17
16 Bielefeld 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Mainz 19 2 4 13 -22 10
18 Schalke 04 19 1 5 13 -34 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Wolfsburg
38′
W. Weghorst 0–1
Y. Gerhardt
László Bénes 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
Robert Gumny 🟨
52′
55′
ℹ️ Ridle Baku
VAR: Goal cancelled
59′
R. Baku 0–2
W. Weghorst
M. Richter 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
66′
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
67′
68′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ X. Schlager
T. Civeja 🔁
↦ T. Strobl
77′
R. Oxford 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
77′
78′
🔁 M. Philipp
↦ Y. Gerhardt
78′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ R. Steffen
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
86′
91′
🔁 B. Białek
↦ W. Weghorst
91′
🔁 João Victor
↦ R. Baku
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
3 M. Pedersen D
19 F. Uduokhai D
2 R. Gumny D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn M
33 T. Strobl M
25 C. Gruezo M
18 L. Bénes M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
23 M. Richter
24 F. Jensen
41 T. Civeja
36 R. Oxford
16 R. Vargas
8 R. Khedira
5 M. Suchý
40 T. Koubek
11 M. Gregoritsch

Coach: H. Herrlich

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
25 J. Brooks D
6 Paulo Otávio D
19 K. Mbabu D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
20 R. Baku M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
23 J. Guilavogui
17 M. Philipp
7 J. Brekalo
21 B. Białek
40 João Victor
15 J. Roussillon
14 A. Mehmedi
12 P. Pervan
34 M. Pongracic

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,58
U
3,58
B ✓
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.