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Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Schalke 04
S T T T U
0–3
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
5%
58%
Points per game
0,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
68%
47%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
3 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 12
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · RB Leipzig 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 3 2 +32 48
2 RB Leipzig 19 11 5 3 +15 38
3 Wolfsburg 19 9 8 2 +11 35
4 Ein Frankfurt 19 8 9 2 +10 33
5 Leverkusen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
6 Dortmund 19 10 2 7 +11 32
7 M'gladbach 19 8 8 3 +7 32
8 Union Berlin 19 7 8 4 +10 29
9 Freiburg 19 7 6 6 +1 27
10 Stuttgart 19 6 7 6 +6 25
11 Werder Bremen 19 5 7 7 -3 22
12 Hoffenheim 19 6 4 9 -5 22
13 Augsburg 19 6 4 9 -10 22
14 FC Koln 19 4 6 9 -14 18
15 Hertha 20 4 5 11 -11 17
16 Bielefeld 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Mainz 19 2 4 13 -22 10
18 Schalke 04 19 1 5 13 -34 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
30 S. Mustafi D
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli M
20 S. Kolašinac D
13 William D
6 Omar Mascarell M
28 A. Schöpf M
25 A. Harit M
7 M. Uth M
43 M. Hoppe F
Bench (8)
16 N. Boujellab
9 B. Raman
33 M. Thiaw
8 S. Serdar
3 H. Mendyl
24 B. Oczipka
37 L. Mercan
34 M. Langer

Coach: C. Gross

RB Leipzig

3-1-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
4 V. Orban D
3 Angeliño M
22 N. Mukiele D
5 D. Upamecano D
44 K. Kampl M
7 M. Sabitzer M
18 C. Nkunku F
25 Daniel Olmo M
14 T. Adams M
19 A. Sørloth F
Bench (8)
16 L. Klostermann
9 Y. Poulsen
8 A. Haidara
11 Hwang Hee-Chan
23 M. Halstenberg
33 Josep Martínez
20 L. Samardžić
6 I. Konaté

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,24
U
5,39
B ✓
1,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.