Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Union Berlin
Schalke 04
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | +32 | 48 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | +19 | 44 |
| 3 |
Wolfsburg
|
20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | +13 | 38 |
| 4 |
Leverkusen
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +16 | 36 |
| 5 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | +12 | 36 |
| 6 |
Dortmund
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +10 | 33 |
| 7 |
M'gladbach
|
20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | +6 | 32 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 31 |
| 9 |
Union Berlin
|
20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | +9 | 29 |
| 10 |
Stuttgart
|
21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 26 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 |
Hoffenheim
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -13 | 22 |
| 14 |
FC Koln
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 |
Hertha
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -11 | 18 |
| 16 |
Bielefeld
|
19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 17 |
Mainz
|
21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | -37 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Karius
G
C. Trimmel
M
R. Andrich
M
J. Pohjanpalo
F
T. Awoniyi
F
Coach: U. Fischer
S. Kolašinac
D
T. Becker
D
M. Thiaw
D
N. Bentaleb
M
A. Harit
M
M. Hoppe
F
Coach: C. Gross
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mainz
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
M'gladbach
Augsburg
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Leverkusen
D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.