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Bundesliga
Referee: B Dankert
Wolfsburg
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Hertha
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-2,0
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
18%
Points per game
1,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
45%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 3. · Hertha 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 15 4 3 +31 49
2 RB Leipzig 22 14 5 3 +22 47
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 +16 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 23 11 9 3 +14 42
5 Leverkusen 22 10 7 5 +16 37
6 Dortmund 22 11 3 8 +14 36
7 Union Berlin 22 8 9 5 +10 33
8 M'gladbach 22 8 9 5 +5 33
9 Freiburg 22 8 7 7 +1 31
10 Stuttgart 22 7 8 7 +4 29
11 Hoffenheim 22 7 5 10 -3 26
12 Werder Bremen 22 6 8 8 -6 26
13 Augsburg 22 6 5 11 -13 23
14 FC Koln 22 5 6 11 -16 21
15 Hertha 22 4 6 12 -14 18
16 Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 -20 18
17 Mainz 22 4 5 13 -20 17
18 Schalke 04 22 1 6 15 -41 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Hertha
0–1 L. Klünter
own goal
37′
Paulo Otávio 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Piątek
↦ Matheus Cunha
46′
🔁 J. Córdoba
↦ N. Radonjić
Kevin Mbabu 🟨
47′
Marin Pongračić 🟨
48′
54′
🔁 M. Guendouzi
↦ S. Khedira
74′
🔁 L. Netz
↦ D. Zeefuik
74′
🔁 D. Lukébakio
↦ V. Darida
J. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ K. Mbabu
77′
82′
ℹ️ Krzysztof Piątek
VAR: Goal cancelled
João Victor 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
86′
B. Białek 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
86′
1–1 M. Lacroix
M. Arnold
89′
Bartosz Białek 🟨
90′
Marin Pongračić 🟨
90′
Marin Pongračić 🟥
90′
A. Mehmedi 🔁
↦ X. Schlager
92′
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
6 Paulo Otávio D
19 K. Mbabu D
34 M. Pongracic D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
20 R. Baku M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
23 J. Guilavogui
40 João Victor
21 B. Białek
14 A. Mehmedi
17 M. Philipp
12 P. Pervan
33 D. Ginczek
5 J. Bruma
15 J. Roussillon

Coach: O. Glasner

Hertha

3-4-1-2
22 R. Jarstein G
5 N. Stark D
13 L. Klünter D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
42 D. Zeefuik M
31 M. Dárdai D
28 S. Khedira M
6 V. Darida F
24 N. Radonjić F
29 L. Tousart M
10 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (9)
9 K. Piątek
15 J. Córdoba
8 M. Guendouzi
32 L. Netz
11 D. Lukébakio
1 A. Schwolow
18 S. Ascacíbar
14 O. Alderete
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,93
B
4,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.