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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
M'gladbach
S U S S U
1–2
Full-time
FC Koln
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
42%
21%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 69%
79%
58%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 7. · FC Koln 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 3 2 +32 48
2 RB Leipzig 20 12 5 3 +18 41
3 Wolfsburg 20 10 8 2 +13 38
4 Leverkusen 20 10 5 5 +16 35
5 Ein Frankfurt 19 8 9 2 +10 33
6 Dortmund 20 10 2 8 +10 32
7 M'gladbach 19 8 8 3 +7 32
8 Freiburg 20 8 6 6 +2 30
9 Union Berlin 20 7 8 5 +9 29
10 Stuttgart 20 6 7 7 +3 25
11 Werder Bremen 19 5 7 7 -3 22
12 Hoffenheim 19 6 4 9 -5 22
13 Augsburg 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 FC Koln 19 4 6 9 -14 18
15 Hertha 20 4 5 11 -11 17
16 Bielefeld 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Mainz 20 3 4 13 -21 13
18 Schalke 04 20 1 5 14 -37 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach FC Koln
Lars Stindl 🟨
2′
3′
E. Rexhbecaj 0–1
O. Duda
1–1 F. Neuhaus
L. Stindl
16′
Patrick Herrmann 🟨
27′
Half-time 1–1
C. Kramer 🔁
↦ D. Zakaria
48′
55′
E. Rexhbecaj 1–2
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ P. Herrmann
58′
M. Thuram 🔁
↦ H. Wolf
58′
A. Plea 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
58′
58′
🔁 J. Thielmann
↦ E. Dennis
R. Bensebaini 🔁
↦ O. Wendt
72′
Tony Jantschke 🟨
75′
80′
🟨 Kingsley Ehizibue
82′
🔁 B. Schmitz
↦ K. Ehizibue
86′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbecaj
Florian Neuhaus 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ O. Duda
93′
🔁 J. Horn
↦ I. Jakobs
Full-time 1–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,47
U
4,50
B ✓
6,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.