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Bundesliga
Referee: G Winkmann
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
5,0
2,2
Scored
3,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 58%
86%
29%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
100%
29%
Both score Ø 79%
71%
86%
Average goals
5,4
2,6
Scored
3,9
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Werder Bremen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 6 0 1 +16 18
2 RB Leipzig 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +10 15
4 Leverkusen 7 4 3 0 +6 15
5 Union Berlin 7 3 3 1 +9 12
6 Wolfsburg 7 2 5 0 +2 11
7 M'gladbach 7 3 2 2 +0 11
8 Stuttgart 7 2 4 1 +4 10
9 Werder Bremen 7 2 4 1 +0 10
10 Augsburg 7 3 1 3 -1 10
11 Ein Frankfurt 7 2 4 1 -2 10
12 Hertha 7 2 1 4 +0 7
13 Hoffenheim 7 2 1 4 -1 7
14 Freiburg 7 1 3 3 -8 6
15 Bielefeld 7 1 1 5 -11 4
16 FC Koln 7 0 3 4 -5 3
17 Schalke 04 7 0 3 4 -17 3
18 Mainz 7 0 1 6 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Werder Bremen
Benjamin Pavard 🟨
15′
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ L. Hernández
19′
32′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
43′
🟨 Ludwig Augustinsson
45′
M. Eggestein 0–1
J. Sargent
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Coman
L. Goretzka
62′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ K. Coman
63′
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
63′
L. Sané 🔁
↦ Douglas Costa
63′
66′
🔁 F. Agu
↦ L. Bittencourt
72′
🔁 J. Mbom
↦ K. Möhwald
90′
🟨 Jiří Pavlenka
91′
🔁 T. Chong
↦ M. Rashica
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-1-4-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
8 Javi Martínez M
11 Douglas Costa M
42 J. Musiala M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (9)
18 L. Goretzka
7 S. Gnabry
13 E. Choupo-Moting
10 L. Sané
41 C. Richards
35 A. Nübel
14 J. Zirkzee
23 T. Nianzou
22 Marc Roca

Coach: H. Flick

Werder Bremen

3-4-2-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
36 C. Groß D
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie M
5 L. Augustinsson M
32 M. Friedl D
10 L. Bittencourt F
6 K. Möhwald M
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
17 F. Agu
34 J. Mbom
22 T. Chong
9 D. Selke
33 J. Rieckmann
41 N. Woltemade
18 N. Moisander
27 S. Kapino
8 Y. Ōsako

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,11
U ✓
10,28
B
19,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,18
U2,5 ✓
4,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Winkmann · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.