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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Werder Bremen
U T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
8%
38%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
31%
46%
Both score Ø 39%
31%
46%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 17. · Stuttgart 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 9 2 2 +21 29
2 RB Leipzig 13 8 2 3 +7 26
3 Schalke 04 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 M'gladbach 13 7 3 3 +1 24
5 Dortmund 13 6 3 4 +13 21
6 Leverkusen 13 5 5 3 +8 20
7 Hoffenheim 13 5 5 3 +3 20
8 Augsburg 13 5 4 4 +3 19
9 Ein Frankfurt 13 5 4 4 +1 19
10 Hannover 13 5 4 4 +0 19
11 Hertha 13 4 5 4 -1 17
12 Stuttgart 13 5 2 6 -3 17
13 Mainz 13 4 3 6 -5 15
14 Wolfsburg 13 2 8 3 -2 14
15 Hamburg 14 4 2 8 -7 14
16 Freiburg 14 2 6 6 -16 12
17 Werder Bremen 13 1 5 7 -8 8
18 FC Koln 13 0 2 11 -21 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
34′
🟨 Santiago Ascacibar
Philipp Bargfrede 🟨
38′
1–0 M. Kruse
F. Bartels
45′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 A. Donis
↦ T. Asano
61′
🔁 S. Terodde
↦ E. Insúa
70′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ B. Özcan
L. Sané 🔁
↦ P. Bargfrede
74′
Niklas Moisander 🟨
81′
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ F. Bartels
85′
J. Gondorf 🔁
↦ M. Eggestein
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
44 P. Bargfrede M
6 T. Delaney M
13 M. Veljkovic D
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
26 L. Sané
7 F. Kainz
8 J. Gondorf
4 R. Bauer
15 I. Hajrović
29 I. Belfodil
33 J. Drobný

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Stuttgart

3-4-1-2
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
28 H. Badstuber D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
7 J. Brekalo M
31 B. Özcan F
6 S. Ascacíbar M
11 T. Asano F
Bench (7)
14 A. Donis
9 S. Terodde
19 C. Akolo
3 D. Aogo
13 J. Grahl
23 O. Mangala
35 M. Kamiński

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.