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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Werder Bremen
S U U S U
1–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 27%
36%
18%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
59%
68%
Both score Ø 62%
82%
41%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
15 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 10. · Stuttgart 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 +31 51
2 Bayern Munich 22 15 3 4 +24 48
3 M'gladbach 22 13 4 5 +20 43
4 RB Leipzig 22 12 5 5 +22 41
5 Leverkusen 22 11 3 8 +7 36
6 Wolfsburg 22 10 5 7 +5 35
7 Ein Frankfurt 22 9 7 6 +13 34
8 Hoffenheim 22 8 9 5 +12 33
9 Hertha 22 8 8 6 +3 32
10 Werder Bremen 22 8 7 7 +4 31
11 Mainz 22 7 6 9 -13 27
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 7 4 11 -16 25
13 Freiburg 22 5 9 8 -8 24
14 Schalke 04 22 6 5 11 -7 23
15 Augsburg 22 4 6 12 -9 18
16 Stuttgart 22 4 3 15 -32 15
17 Hannover 22 3 5 14 -27 14
18 Nurnberg 22 2 7 13 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
1′
S. Zuber 0–1
M. Gómez
1–1 D. Klaassen
M. Kruse
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 C. Gentner
↦ M. Kempf
57′
🟨 Ozan Kabak
58′
🔁 A. Donis
↦ M. Gómez
C. Pizarro 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
61′
J. Eggestein 🔁
↦ N. Şahin
72′
82′
🟨 Ron-Robert Zieler
82′
🔁 H. Badstuber
↦ S. Zuber
Niklas Moisander 🟨
83′
K. Möhwald 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
84′
86′
🟨 Anastasios Donis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-1-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
15 S. Langkamp D
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
17 N. Şahin M
30 D. Klaassen M
11 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (7)
4 C. Pizarro
24 J. Eggestein
6 K. Möhwald
27 S. Kapino
32 M. Friedl
34 J. Mbom
13 M. Veljkovic

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Stuttgart

5-4-1
1 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
4 M. Kempf D
21 B. Pavard D
18 O. Kabak D
14 A. Esswein M
9 S. Zuber M
8 G. Castro M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
20 C. Gentner
11 A. Donis
28 H. Badstuber
17 E. Thommy
10 D. Didavi
13 J. Grahl
24 B. Sosa

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.