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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Wolfsburg
U S U S S
5–3
Full-time
Werder Bremen
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 76%
63%
88%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wolfsburg 6. · Werder Bremen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 8 6 1 1 +16 19
2 Dortmund 8 6 0 2 +13 18
3 Leverkusen 8 5 3 0 +7 18
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +10 15
6 Wolfsburg 8 3 5 0 +4 14
7 M'gladbach 8 3 3 2 +0 12
8 Stuttgart 8 2 5 1 +4 11
9 Werder Bremen 8 2 5 1 +0 11
10 Augsburg 8 3 2 3 -1 11
11 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 5 1 -2 11
12 Hoffenheim 8 2 2 4 -1 8
13 Hertha 8 2 1 5 -3 7
14 Freiburg 8 1 3 4 -10 6
15 Mainz 8 1 1 6 -11 4
16 Bielefeld 8 1 1 6 -12 4
17 FC Koln 8 0 3 5 -6 3
18 Schalke 04 8 0 3 5 -19 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
13′
L. Bittencourt 0–1
Y. Ōsako
1–1 R. Baku
M. Lacroix
22′
24′
🟨 Jean-Manuel Mbom
2–1 J. Brooks
J. Brekalo
25′
32′
🔁 K. Möhwald
↦ J. Mbom
35′
K. Möhwald 2–2
L. Augustinsson
3–2 W. Weghorst
A. Mehmedi
37′
Half-time 4–2
47′
J. Brooks 4–2
own goal
57′
🟨 Kevin Möhwald
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
65′
71′
🔁 F. Agu
↦ L. Bittencourt
72′
🔁 T. Chong
↦ M. Rashica
Maxence Lacroix 🟨
73′
5–2 W. Weghorst
J. Roussillon
76′
80′
🟨 Kevin Möhwald
80′
🟥 Kevin Möhwald
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
81′
B. Białek 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
81′
Paulo Otávio 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
81′
84′
🔁 N. Woltemade
↦ C. Groß
84′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ Y. Ōsako
João Victor 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
90′
6–2 B. Białek
João Victor
95′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
4 M. Lacroix D
14 A. Mehmedi M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo M
20 R. Baku D
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
17 M. Philipp
21 B. Białek
6 Paulo Otávio
40 João Victor
11 F. Klaus
39 T. Siersleben
12 P. Pervan
19 K. Mbabu
31 Y. Gerhardt

Coach: O. Glasner

Werder Bremen

3-4-2-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
36 C. Groß M
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson M
32 M. Friedl D
10 L. Bittencourt F
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
34 J. Mbom M
8 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (9)
6 K. Möhwald
17 F. Agu
22 T. Chong
41 N. Woltemade
9 D. Selke
29 P. Erras
20 R. Schmid
18 N. Moisander
27 S. Kapino

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,64
B
4,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.