Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 5 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |
Wolfsburg
|
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |
M'gladbach
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +0 | 12 |
| 8 |
Stuttgart
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 9 |
Werder Bremen
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Augsburg
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |
Hoffenheim
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |
Freiburg
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 |
Bielefeld
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |
FC Koln
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -19 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Lacroix
D
M. Arnold
M
R. Steffen
M
X. Schlager
M
J. Brekalo
M
R. Baku
D
W. Weghorst
F
Coach: O. Glasner
J. Pavlenka
G
L. Augustinsson
M
M. Friedl
D
L. Bittencourt
F
M. Rashica
F
M. Eggestein
M
J. Mbom
M
Coach: F. Kohfeldt
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Schalke 04
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim
Hertha
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bielefeld
M'gladbach
Wolfsburg
C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.