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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Servette

U U S T S

3–0

Full-time

Luzern

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 29%

26%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

65%

81%

Both score Ø 76%

74%

77%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,17 xG 0,62

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 9. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	32	23	2	7	+36	+7.1	71
2	St. Gallen	31	16	8	7	+23	+9.0	56
3	Lugano	32	15	9	8	+11	-2.9	54
4	Basel	32	15	8	9	+8	+10.7	53
5	Sion	32	12	13	7	+13	+12.1	49
6	Young Boys	32	13	8	11	+5	-3.0	47
7	Luzern	31	10	9	12	+6	+2.8	39
8	Lausanne	32	10	9	13	-7	+3.7	39
9	Servette	31	8	12	11	-3	+6.9	36
10	Zurich	31	10	4	17	-16	-5.8	34
11	Grasshoppers	32	5	9	18	-27	-19.6	24
12	Winterthur	32	4	7	21	-49	-20.9	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	11	2	3	+20	+3.7	35
2	Lugano	16	10	3	3	+12	-0.8	33
3	St. Gallen	16	9	2	5	+12	+12.1	29
4	Young Boys	15	8	3	4	+16	+9.0	27
5	Basel	16	7	6	3	+10	+17.6	27
6	Sion	16	7	6	3	+10	+5.2	27
7	Lausanne	16	5	5	6	+1	+9.8	20
8	Servette	16	4	7	5	+1	+3.5	19
9	Zurich	16	6	1	9	-5	+0.5	19
10	Luzern	16	4	5	7	+3	+5.6	17
11	Grasshoppers	16	3	5	8	-6	-6.1	14
12	Winterthur	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	12	0	4	+16	+3.4	36
2	St. Gallen	15	7	6	2	+11	-3.1	27
3	Basel	16	8	2	6	-2	-6.9	26
4	Sion	16	5	7	4	+3	+6.9	22
5	Luzern	15	6	4	5	+3	-2.8	22
6	Lugano	16	5	6	5	-1	-2.2	21
7	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-11	-12.0	20
8	Lausanne	16	5	4	7	-8	-6.1	19
9	Servette	15	4	5	6	-4	+3.4	17
10	Zurich	15	4	3	8	-11	-6.3	15
11	Grasshoppers	16	2	4	10	-21	-13.5	10
12	Winterthur	17	2	3	12	-33	-18.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.